Peak Forecast

Low Probability
Medium Probability
High Probability
No Data

How to Use the Forecast

The forecast uses a color-coded system to help you prioritize your efforts:

  • Red (High Probability): These are the most critical times to scale back. Members who follow the "Red" timeframes have successfully avoided the peak 82% of the time. On average, this involves responding to about 5 events per month, totaling roughly 10.6 hours.
     
  • Yellow (Medium Probability): For members who want an even higher success rate, responding to Yellow timeframes provides an extra layer of protection against the peak charge.
     
  • Green (Low Probability): Standard usage is typically safe during these times.

What is the "On-Peak Demand" Charge?

Starting in May 2024, Capital Electric accounts include an On-Peak Demand charge. This is different from your standard energy usage; while most of your bill is based on the total amount of electricity you use, this specific charge is based on a single 30-minute window each month.

This half-hour period is when demand across the entire regional power grid is at its highest. Our wholesale power supplier charges us significantly more during these brief windows—in fact, we pay more for those 12 half-hour periods (6 hours total per year) than for all the power used during the rest of the year combined. The demand charge aligns your bill with the actual cost of purchasing that power.

Learn More About On-Peak Demand

Why This Forecast Matters

Because the demand charge is determined by a single 30-minute event, reducing your power use during that specific window can meaningfully impact your monthly bill.

We don't know the exact half-hour until the month is over, but we use advanced variables to predict when it is most likely to happen. This page provides you with a "Peak Forecast" so you can see those high-probability times in advance.

Simple Ways to Respond

When the forecast shows a Red or Yellow window, you can "beat the peak" by shifting the use of large appliances to a different time of day. Try these quick adjustments:

  • Adjust your thermostat by a few degrees.
  • Delay the dishwasher or laundry until later in the evening.
  • Avoid using the oven or heavy power tools.
  • Charge electric vehicles overnight rather than during the day.

By monitoring this page and making small, temporary shifts in your routine, you can take a more active role in managing your energy costs.

Learn More About Ways to Save